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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Gardick · 3 games
100%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
33%
Axe
Axe
Vitaly · 2 games
50%

Team Nemesis

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mac · 20 games
60%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
56%
Windranger
Windranger
Q · 18 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 17 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 17 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 16 games
56%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
40%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
591 picks · 361 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 579 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
479 picks · 257 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
449 picks · 384 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
398 picks · 548 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
337 picks · 904 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
330 picks · 835 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
321 picks · 275 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hokori 39%Team Nemesis 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Hokori.
Game 2prediction missed
Hokori 39%Team Nemesis 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Hokori.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 61%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2