BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 6 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sunlight · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
464 picks · 619 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 498 bans
Bane
434 picks · 268 bans
Sand King
415 picks · 539 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 809 bans
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 577 bans
Pangolier
346 picks · 519 bans
Dragon Knight
345 picks · 382 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:36
Hokori 54%Wildcard Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 39:36.
Game 2prediction missed47:15
Hokori 54%Wildcard Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 42:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 54%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2