Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Хорватияwin 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Косовоloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Хорватия
No games played over 6 months.
Косово
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
597 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 641 bans
Phoenix
422 picks · 486 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 357 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 496 bans
Puck
317 picks · 974 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Хорватия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Косово
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Хорватия 41%Косово 59%
The model gave 59% on Косово — the game was taken by Косово.
Game 2prediction missed
Хорватия 41%Косово 59%
The model gave 59% on Косово — the game was taken by Хорватия.
Game 3prediction missed
Хорватия 41%Косово 59%
The model gave 59% on Косово — the game was taken by Хорватия.
Model check result
Model favoriteКосово · 59%
Series resultХорватия 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3