Открытые киберспортивные игры 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTUwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TDTeam Dom1n0loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HOTU
No games played over 6 months.
Team Dom1n0
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
368 picks · 580 bans
Undying
326 picks · 568 bans
Tiny
317 picks · 206 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 332 bans
Enigma
225 picks · 731 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
Death Prophet
207 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% HOTU
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Dom1n0
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HOTU 48%Team Dom1n0 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Dom1n0 — the game was taken by HOTU.
Game 2prediction missed
HOTU 48%Team Dom1n0 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Dom1n0 — the game was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Dom1n0 · 52%
Series resultHOTU 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2