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DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HunterZloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
OG LATAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HunterZ

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Mjz · 6 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
100%
Slardar
Slardar
Vitaly · 4 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mjz · 4 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Prada · 3 games
67%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
100%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
67%
Bane
Bane
Prada · 2 games
50%

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 12 games
58%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
MoOz · 9 games
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 8 games
38%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 8 games
38%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 8 games
25%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 8 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Genek · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
341 picks · 316 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 820 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
291 picks · 147 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
284 picks · 317 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
279 picks · 768 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
271 picks · 246 bans
47%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
269 picks · 172 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
266 picks · 123 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 64%
Hero pool strength56% HunterZ
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% OG LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:24
HunterZ 41%OG LATAM 59%
The model gave 59% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 32:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLumière
49% · 140 games49% · 47 games
Faceless VoidCostabile
Faceless Void
Mars
MarsVitaly
48% · 164 games50% · 22 games
PudgeAlone
Pudge
Snapfire
SnapfireMjz
49% · 122 games60% · 141 game
MagnusFCR
Magnus
Enchantress
EnchantressPrada
49% · 151 game47% · 234 games
BatriderGenek
Batrider
48% · 133 games
WarlockPanda
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct16:31
HunterZ 40%OG LATAM 60%
The model gave 60% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 38:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slardar
SlardarVitaly
49% · 57 games50% · 236 games
BatriderAlone
Batrider
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterLumière
51% · 199 games49% · 69 games
Troll WarlordCostabile
Troll Warlord
Warlock
WarlockPrada
48% · 108 games55% · 27 games
HuskarFCR
Huskar
Snapfire
SnapfireMjz
49% · 118 games56% · 22 games
PudgeGenek
Pudge
50% · 128 games
EnchantressPanda
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteOG LATAM · 65%
Series resultOG LATAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2