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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Brameloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 31 game
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 30 games
77%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 28 games
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Askold · 25 games
64%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 25 games
56%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 20 games
65%
Chen
Chensignature
Zayac · 19 games
68%

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 18 games
61%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
76%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 17 games
53%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 14 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
W1sh- · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
433 picks · 272 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
422 picks · 561 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
378 picks · 439 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
344 picks · 715 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 461 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
313 picks · 430 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
274 picks · 416 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
271 picks · 412 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% Hydra
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:27
Hydra 53%Brame 47%
The model gave 53% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 50:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaKami
52% · 133 games52% · 97 games
Drow RangerFocus
Drow Ranger
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainAskold
59% · 98 games49% · 201 game
Sand KingdEsire
Sand King
Tidehunter
TidehunterBlizzy
45% · 150 games43% · 26 games
VisageSkyLark
Visage
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanZayac
50% · 44 games50% · 176 games
RubickThuG
Rubick
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMuka
44% · 147 games54% · 72 games
UndyingSsaSpartan
Undying
Game 2prediction correct35:18
Hydra 56%Brame 44%
The model gave 56% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 35:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetKami
47% · 37 games41% · 111 games
Phantom AssassinFocus
Phantom Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAskold
53% · 183 games48% · 167 games
Dragon KnightThuG
Dragon Knight
Kunkka
KunkkaBlizzy
49% · 151 game50% · 114 games
BatriderSkyLark
Batrider
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanZayac
57% · 41 game49% · 26 games
ChenSsaSpartan
Chen
Mirana
MiranaMuka
57% · 191 game49% · 185 games
HoodwinkdEsire
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 56%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2