Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 1:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CIS Rejectsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 25 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 23 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 21 game
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
529 picks · 369 bans
Mars
462 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
420 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
410 picks · 860 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
325 picks · 532 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 502 bans
Disruptor
268 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 76%
Hero pool strength59% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total66% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:15
Hydra 34%CIS Rejects 66%
The model gave 66% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Hydra in 34:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 66%
Series resultHydra 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1