Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 1:0series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CIS Rejectsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 23 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 23 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 21 game
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
526 picks · 368 bans
Mars
459 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
419 picks · 512 bans
Weaver
408 picks · 858 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
323 picks · 530 bans
Spirit Breaker
322 picks · 499 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 77%
Hero pool strength59% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total68% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed53:52
Hydra 32%CIS Rejects 68%
The model gave 68% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Hydra in 55:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 68%
Series resultHydra 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1