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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 1:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HULIGANIwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Actor · 4 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
jAMES · 3 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ethereal · 3 games
0%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Actor · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ani-san · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Actor · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 2 games
50%

HULIGANI

Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 21 game
38%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 20 games
35%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 19 games
79%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 16 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
re1bl · 14 games
43%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
re1bl · 14 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
343 picks · 331 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
337 picks · 387 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 483 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
310 picks · 266 bans
54%
Sven
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 446 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 474 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:25
Hydra 35%HULIGANI 65%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Hydra in 41:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingselfhate
52% · 178 games43% · 105 games
Nature's ProphetAlberkaaa
Nature's Prophet
Underlord
UnderlordActor
53% · 68 games42% · 74 games
Void SpiritMirage
Void Spirit
Invoker
InvokerEthereal
53% · 109 games50% · 48 games
Slarkv1olent-
Slark
Dark Willow
Dark Willowani-san
53% · 135 games56% · 142 games
ClockwerkOneJey
Clockwerk
46% · 121 game
SnapfirePanto
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct11:38
Hydra 35%HULIGANI 65%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingselfhate
52% · 220 games42% · 64 games
Nature's Prophetv1olent-
Nature's Prophet
Underlord
UnderlordActor
49% · 87 games53% · 114 games
Storm SpiritMirage
Storm Spirit
Huskar
HuskarEthereal
48% · 20 games48% · 112 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Rubick
Rubickani-san
51% · 264 games52% · 163 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
51% · 138 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
Game 3prediction correct11:36
Hydra 37%HULIGANI 63%
The model gave 63% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 33:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightselfhate
43% · 386 games56% · 240 games
TinyMirage
Tiny
Invoker
InvokerEthereal
54% · 149 games51% · 90 games
Nature's Prophetv1olent-
Nature's Prophet
Night Stalker
Night StalkerActor
38% · 50 games53% · 124 games
DoomAlberkaaa
Doom
Snapfire
Snapfireani-san
49% · 217 games56% · 139 games
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
51% · 209 games
RubickOneJey
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 76%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3