Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 23 games
Banesignature
Zayac · 21 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 20 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 19 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 17 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 15 games
No Sorry
Weaveroften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Disruptor
BLACKARXANGEL · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 1 game
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 1 game
Treant Protector
y0nd · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
515 picks · 367 bans
Mars
463 picks · 661 bans
Weaver
403 picks · 853 bans
Queen of Pain
400 picks · 502 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
312 picks · 522 bans
Spirit Breaker
303 picks · 478 bans
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 38%
Hero pool strength64% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:35
Hydra 65%No Sorry 35%
The model gave 65% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 51:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeKami
Queen of PainWorick
InvokerAskold
AxeLastHero-
KunkkaBlizzy
Clockwerky0nd
Spirit BreakerMuka
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
JakiroZayac
Game 2prediction correct26:18
Hydra 68%No Sorry 32%
The model gave 68% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 28:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingKami
Templar AssassinWorick
BeastmasterBlizzy
Legion CommanderLastHero-
InvokerAskold
Treant ProtectorBLACKARXANGEL
BaneMuka
Dark Willowy0nd
JakiroZayac
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 79%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2