DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
V1dar Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Pangolieroften banned
hina · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
Rubick
xsvampire · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 1 game
Alchemistoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
JANTER · 1 game
V1dar Gaming
Dark Willow
Groom · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 1 game
Luna
dizzying · 1 game
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 577 bans
Mars
349 picks · 534 bans
Techies
346 picks · 273 bans
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 335 bans
Batrider
329 picks · 671 bans
Hoodwink
319 picks · 191 bans
Tiny
309 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% V1dar Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hydra 68%V1dar Gaming 32%
The model gave 68% on Hydra — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 68%
Series resultV1dar Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1