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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO2
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 1:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
YNTloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 31 game
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 30 games
77%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 28 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 26 games
58%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Askold · 25 games
64%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 20 games
65%
Chen
Chensignature
Zayac · 19 games
68%

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
44%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 8 games
38%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
456 picks · 277 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
437 picks · 594 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 470 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
354 picks · 476 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
351 picks · 765 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 498 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 455 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
302 picks · 447 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 31%
Hero pool strength60% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:18
Hydra 63%YNT 37%
The model gave 63% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 45:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidKami
50% · 104 games51% · 178 games
MedusaDarkLord^
Medusa
Puck
PuckAskold
50% · 206 games58% · 182 games
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
Storm Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightZayac
47% · 119 games44% · 124 games
Clockwerkjesv
Clockwerk
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeMuka
48% · 255 games54% · 155 games
IoDominic
Io
48% · 45 games
JakirodSa
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 77%
Series resultHydra 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1