Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aster.Arieswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Dogf1ghts · 7 games
Banesignature
QYQX · 6 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 6 games
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Aster.Aries
Marsoften banned
生死 · 8 games
Grimstroke
TK · 6 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
phoenix · 6 games
Iooften banned
TK · 5 games
Ogre Magi
RedPanda · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ulu · 5 games
Treant Protector
RedPanda · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
phoenix · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 268 bans
Mars
396 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
330 picks · 421 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 556 bans
Queen of Pain
303 picks · 463 bans
Tiny
295 picks · 318 bans
Ember Spirit
274 picks · 370 bans
Kunkka
270 picks · 496 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Aster.Aries
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Aster.Aries
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteAster.Aries · 68%
Series resultAster.Aries 0:2
Series predictioncorrect