Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
iG Vitalitywin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CDEC Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Monkey Kingoften banned
Dogf1ghts · 10 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 7 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Bane
QYQX · 4 games
CDEC Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 366 bans
Queen of Pain
471 picks · 575 bans
Mars
423 picks · 613 bans
Weaver
423 picks · 693 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 546 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
320 picks · 159 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 368 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 42%
Hero pool strength56% CDEC Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% CDEC Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:9
iG Vitality 39%CDEC Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on CDEC Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 24:09.
Game 2prediction missed27:22
iG Vitality 39%CDEC Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on CDEC Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 33:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteCDEC Gaming · 61%
Series resultiG Vitality 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2