Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 9 games
Iosignature
Dogf1ghts · 6 games
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Clinkz
ukiyo · 4 games
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 365 bans
Queen of Pain
469 picks · 573 bans
Mars
422 picks · 611 bans
Weaver
422 picks · 693 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 544 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
318 picks · 159 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 367 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Dandelion Esport Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:28
iG Vitality 44%Dandelion Esport Club 56%
The model gave 56% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 32:00.
Game 2prediction correct4:19
iG Vitality 44%Dandelion Esport Club 56%
The model gave 56% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 24:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 56%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2