OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 0:2series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team SMGwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Clinkzoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 18 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 14 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 13 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 13 games
Marsoften banned
kpii · 12 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
367 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
336 picks · 121 bans
Lina
269 picks · 497 bans
Luna
251 picks · 343 bans
Mars
251 picks · 424 bans
Nyx Assassin
248 picks · 523 bans
Pangolier
246 picks · 323 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 56%
Hero pool strength62% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 90%
Series resultTeam SMG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect