Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
IHC Esportswin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IHC Esports
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Se · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
eleven · 6 games
Dark Willow
ace12 · 5 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
423 · 4 games
Techies
ace12 · 4 games
Alchemistoften banned
423 · 3 games
Marsoften banned
eleven · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 3 games
Yangon Galacticos
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 219 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
421 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 583 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 801 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 960 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% IHC Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% IHC Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
IHC Esports 55%Yangon Galacticos 45%
The model gave 55% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
IHC Esports 55%Yangon Galacticos 45%
The model gave 55% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteIHC Esports · 55%
Series resultIHC Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2