ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Ilbirs eSportsloss 0:1series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ilbirs eSports
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
558 picks · 737 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 645 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 630 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ilbirs eSports 22%Nemiga Gaming 78%
The model gave 78% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 78%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1