2022 Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Индияloss 0:1series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Филиппиныwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Индия
No games played over 6 months.
Филиппины
Batrideroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
Clinkz
CTOMAHEH1 · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
Dragon Knight
Mastermind · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
lil pleb · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
310 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
222 picks · 289 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 413 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 393 bans
Skywrath Mage
191 picks · 111 bans
Dark Seer
187 picks · 355 bans
Storm Spirit
187 picks · 275 bans
Doom
173 picks · 314 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Индия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Филиппины
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Индия 20%Филиппины 80%
The model gave 80% on Филиппины — the game was taken by Филиппины.
Model check result
Model favoriteФилиппины · 80%
Series resultФилиппины 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1