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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamous.Rloss 1:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Qhaliwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous.R

No games played over 6 months.

Qhali

Undying
Undyingoften banned
Luis · 12 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 10 games
30%
Snapfire
Snapfire
MonHty · 9 games
44%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Luis · 8 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 7 games
57%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Robo-Z · 7 games
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MonHty · 7 games
43%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Robo-Z · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
820 picks · 580 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
599 picks · 410 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
519 picks · 541 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
511 picks · 417 bans
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
483 picks · 790 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
437 picks · 904 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
433 picks · 305 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
382 picks · 285 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Infamous.R
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Infamous.R
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:17
Infamous.R 58%Qhali 42%
The model gave 58% on Infamous.R — the game was taken by Qhali in 48:15.
Game 2prediction missed27:11
Infamous.R 58%Qhali 42%
The model gave 58% on Infamous.R — the game was taken by Qhali in 28:53.
Game 3prediction missed31:9
Infamous.R 58%Qhali 42%
The model gave 58% on Infamous.R — the game was taken by Qhali in 37:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous.R · 58%
Series resultQhali 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3