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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Alliance.LATAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 9 games
44%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
sl4d1n- · 6 games
83%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 5 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Mjz · 4 games
0%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageoften banned
Genek · 4 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Prada · 3 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
sl4d1n- · 3 games
67%

Alliance.LATAM

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
361 picks · 341 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 337 bans
58%
Mirana
Mirana
254 picks · 247 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
231 picks · 189 bans
59%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
224 picks · 149 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
205 picks · 533 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
192 picks · 113 bans
46%
Silencer
Silencer
191 picks · 218 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Alliance.LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:4
Infamous 64%Alliance.LATAM 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by Alliance.LATAM in 32:33.
Game 2prediction missed37:13
Infamous 64%Alliance.LATAM 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by Alliance.LATAM in 42:30.
Game 3prediction missed34:20
Infamous 64%Alliance.LATAM 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by Alliance.LATAM in 44:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 64%
Series resultAlliance.LATAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3