Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
beastcoastloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopter
Lumière · 9 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 7 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 6 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 6 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
374 picks · 273 bans
Mars
373 picks · 538 bans
Snapfire
325 picks · 202 bans
Weaver
314 picks · 722 bans
Queen of Pain
265 picks · 339 bans
Disruptor
242 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
241 picks · 312 bans
Io
234 picks · 604 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 52%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictionmissed