BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
D2 Hustlersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
399 picks · 638 bans
Puck
399 picks · 993 bans
Lion
398 picks · 220 bans
Grimstroke
373 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 191 bans
Tiny
306 picks · 217 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 216 bans
Centaur Warrunner
278 picks · 377 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:37
Infamous 37%D2 Hustlers 63%
The model gave 63% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 34:24.
Game 2prediction correct40:17
Infamous 37%D2 Hustlers 63%
The model gave 63% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 27:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 63%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2