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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:2
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Bane
Banesignature
Prada · 8 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 8 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
20%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
80%
Tusk
Tusk
Pamplona · 5 games
80%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Genek · 4 games
25%

Infinity Esports

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 12 games
33%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 11 games
27%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cys · 10 games
40%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
57%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
17%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 6 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 435 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
476 picks · 694 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
440 picks · 295 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 534 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 609 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 604 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
356 picks · 522 bans
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
343 picks · 759 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 41%
Hero pool strength61% Infamous
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total76% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:31
Infamous 76%Infinity Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 29:28.
Game 2prediction correct34:15
Infamous 76%Infinity Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 32:54.
Game 3prediction correct39:14
Infamous 76%Infinity Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 44:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 76%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 3