Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 6 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
Grimstroke
Yor · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
Lycanoften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 3 games
Underlordoften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
NoPing VPN
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Matthew · 4 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Pakazs · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 3 games
Linaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Viperoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
234 picks · 497 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 268 bans
Mars
203 picks · 368 bans
Earth Spirit
185 picks · 154 bans
Keeper of the Light
163 picks · 266 bans
Phoenix
159 picks · 185 bans
Nyx Assassin
155 picks · 500 bans
Wraith King
146 picks · 188 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:19
Infamous 51%NoPing VPN 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 32:42.
Game 2prediction missed4:25
Infamous 51%NoPing VPN 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 22:12.
Game 3prediction missed8:37
Infamous 51%NoPing VPN 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 27:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 51%
Series resultNoPing VPN 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3