Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:1
O+Orrai + 4win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Lifestealeroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Linaoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Puckoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Sven
CarJua · 1 game
Orrai + 4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Orrai + 4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Infamous 69%Orrai + 4 31%
The model gave 69% on Infamous — the game was taken by Orrai + 4.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 69%
Series resultOrrai + 4 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1