BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
The Cut
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Scourge McDuck · 6 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
dnm · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Shadow Demon
Giant · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
537 picks · 388 bans
Queen of Pain
450 picks · 541 bans
Mars
448 picks · 652 bans
Weaver
433 picks · 847 bans
Snapfire
349 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 549 bans
Kunkka
339 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
275 picks · 314 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:21
Infamous 72%The Cut 28%
The model gave 72% on Infamous — the game was taken by The Cut in 32:09.
Game 2prediction missed39:43
Infamous 72%The Cut 28%
The model gave 72% on Infamous — the game was taken by The Cut in 37:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 72%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2