Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO1
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Alliance.LATAMwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 7 games
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 7 games
Rubicksignature
Genek · 6 games
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 6 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 5 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Hyko · 5 games
Alliance.LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
402 picks · 402 bans
Tiny
376 picks · 368 bans
Rubick
364 picks · 251 bans
Mirana
292 picks · 301 bans
Treant Protector
239 picks · 290 bans
Snapfire
229 picks · 120 bans
Crystal Maiden
209 picks · 146 bans
Ember Spirit
198 picks · 550 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Alliance.LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:31
Infinity Esports 36%Alliance.LATAM 64%
The model gave 64% on Alliance.LATAM — the game was taken by Alliance.LATAM in 37:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance.LATAM · 64%
Series resultAlliance.LATAM 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1