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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Valquiria · 14 games
64%
Weaver
Weaver
Jupiter · 13 games
46%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
20%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
44%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 7 games
29%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
14%

Infamous

Mars
Marssignature
Mariano · 7 games
86%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 7 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
Prada · 6 games
83%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Pamplona · 6 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 6 games
100%
Mirana
Mirana
Pamplona · 5 games
80%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
100%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
467 picks · 640 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 495 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
441 picks · 267 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
423 picks · 555 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 605 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
357 picks · 420 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 536 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 812 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength63% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total63% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:14
Infinity Esports 37%Infamous 63%
The model gave 63% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 25:12.
Game 2prediction correct18:34
Infinity Esports 37%Infamous 63%
The model gave 63% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 29:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 63%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2