Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Interitusloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Terrorbladeoften banned
Benny · 4 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Nuages · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
Nuages · 3 games
Dragon Knight
mini-` · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 3 games
Lion
Jupiter · 3 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Jupiter · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Benny · 2 games
Interitus
Axe
FCR · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
H1j4ck · 2 games
Rubick
Amin · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
DFlash · 1 game
Disruptor
DFlash · 1 game
Dragon Knight
H1j4ck · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
FCR · 1 game
Jakiro
DFlash · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
318 picks · 446 bans
Monkey King
275 picks · 684 bans
Bane
274 picks · 211 bans
Tidehunter
261 picks · 401 bans
Snapfire
249 picks · 138 bans
Weaver
247 picks · 534 bans
Lion
210 picks · 99 bans
Void Spirit
209 picks · 240 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:8
Infinity Esports 52%Interitus 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Interitus in 34:03.
Game 2prediction missed15:33
Infinity Esports 52%Interitus 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Interitus in 29:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 52%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2