Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inverseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Inverse
Grimstroke
Slaw · 2 games
Gyrocopter
DM · 2 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
DM · 2 games
Juggernautoften banned
DM · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Slaw · 1 game
Ogre Magi
Slaw · 1 game
Oracleoften banned
Slaw · 1 game
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DM · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
183 picks · 409 bans
Mars
170 picks · 314 bans
Earth Spirit
161 picks · 128 bans
Void Spirit
158 picks · 226 bans
Phoenix
136 picks · 152 bans
Keeper of the Light
124 picks · 214 bans
Nyx Assassin
120 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
117 picks · 64 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:51
Infinity Esports 58%Inverse 42%
The model gave 58% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Inverse in 43:02.
Game 2prediction missed21:3
Infinity Esports 58%Inverse 42%
The model gave 58% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Inverse in 13:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 58%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2