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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inverseloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 5 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Benny · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Nuages · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
mini-` · 3 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 3 games
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 3 games
33%

Inverse

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
ArzenT · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Migi · 2 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Adrx · 2 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 2 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Migi · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Migi · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
MonHty · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
370 picks · 530 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
327 picks · 249 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
321 picks · 196 bans
46%
Weaver
Weaver
311 picks · 686 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
258 picks · 751 bans
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
245 picks · 392 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
235 picks · 150 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
231 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:25
Infinity Esports 65%Inverse 35%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Inverse in 43:01.
Game 2prediction missed9:28
Infinity Esports 65%Inverse 35%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Inverse in 25:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 65%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2