BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Ravensloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 9 games
Snapfire
Genek · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 7 games
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
Prada · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Frank · 6 games
Primal Beastsignature
Hyko · 6 games
Rubicksignature
Genek · 6 games
Ravens
Rubick
d1smar · 12 games
Tiny
d1smar · 12 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Cara · 10 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Benjaz · 9 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 8 games
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
479 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
476 picks · 463 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 409 bans
Mirana
340 picks · 331 bans
Treant Protector
333 picks · 382 bans
Snapfire
291 picks · 152 bans
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 664 bans
Pangolier
253 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:30
Infinity Esports 51%Ravens 49%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Ravens in 33:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaDaaD-
TerrorbladeParker
VenomancerLeostyle
ViperBenjaz
Death ProphetOscar
Earth SpiritPiPi
RubickPrada
Monkey KingFeelinG
TuskGenek
Crystal MaidenCara
Game 2prediction correct32:25
Infinity Esports 53%Ravens 47%
The model gave 53% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 41:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingDaaD-
Monkey KingPiPi
PuckLeostyle
Queen of PainParker
Death ProphetOscar
MarsBenjaz
Crystal MaidenPrada
RubickFeelinG
TuskGenek
Treant ProtectorCara
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2