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Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 1:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
South Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
43%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 6 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 6 games
17%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Parker · 5 games
40%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
25%

South Team

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ArzenT · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
MonHty · 4 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Wij · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total71% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Infinity Esports 71%South Team 29%
The model gave 71% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 71%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1