BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
Pucksignature
Bloody Nine · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 5 games
Rubick
yarintheslayer · 5 games
Undyingoften banned
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
lukiluki · 3 games
Dark Willow
yarintheslayer · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
360 picks · 753 bans
Void Spirit
335 picks · 450 bans
Mars
288 picks · 508 bans
Earth Spirit
263 picks · 221 bans
Death Prophet
249 picks · 390 bans
Rubick
237 picks · 138 bans
Keeper of the Light
224 picks · 474 bans
Nyx Assassin
220 picks · 670 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:37
Infinity Esports 61%Team DogChamp 39%
The model gave 61% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 31:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 61%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1