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The International 2023 — Квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Universitario Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Rubick
Rubick
Kiri · 13 games
38%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 7 games
57%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Frank · 7 games
43%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Kiri · 7 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 6 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
Kiri · 6 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 5 games
60%

Universitario Esports

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
534 picks · 578 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
459 picks · 227 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 751 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
374 picks · 659 bans
48%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
358 picks · 355 bans
47%
Morphling
Morphling
339 picks · 714 bans
52%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
332 picks · 806 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
330 picks · 524 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Universitario Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:20
Infinity Esports 52%Universitario Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Universitario Esports in 47:55.
Game 2prediction missed18:39
Infinity Esports 52%Universitario Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Universitario Esports in 44:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 52%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2