ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WSWawitas Sagazesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
Underlord
Frank · 6 games
Rubick
Kiri · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 4 games
Clockwerk
Prada · 3 games
Doomoften banned
Frank · 3 games
Wawitas Sagazes
Treant Protectoroften banned
Panda · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
Weaveroften banned
Lumière · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
Earth Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
237 picks · 109 bans
Grimstroke
235 picks · 280 bans
Vengeful Spirit
227 picks · 268 bans
Treant Protector
200 picks · 431 bans
Pangolier
199 picks · 420 bans
Phoenix
199 picks · 265 bans
Earth Spirit
178 picks · 279 bans
Earthshaker
176 picks · 175 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength61% Wawitas Sagazes
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Wawitas Sagazes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:13
Infinity Esports 30%Wawitas Sagazes 70%
The model gave 70% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 43:16.
Game 2prediction correct32:12
Infinity Esports 30%Wawitas Sagazes 70%
The model gave 70% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 41:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteWawitas Sagazes · 70%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2