Inner Circle vs Double Dimension — prediction I2ОК · Dota 2

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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1

result vs prediction

Inner Circlewin 1:0

series probability

81%19%

probability at match start · final 1:0

Double Dimensionloss 0:1

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Tiny

Jing · 23 games

52%

Hoodwink

Fernans · 22 games

55%

Tusk

Fernans · 22 games

50%

Warlock

Se · 22 games

41%

Puckoften banned

Supream^ · 18 games

50%

Jakiro

Se · 17 games

41%

Ember Spiritoften banned

niche · 15 games

47%

Slardaroften banned

laise · 14 games

50%

Double Dimension

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

623 picks · 406 bans

54%

Rubick

529 picks · 294 bans

50%

Phoenix

482 picks · 583 bans

50%

Tiny

466 picks · 389 bans

49%

Pangolier

427 picks · 609 bans

49%

Puck

346 picks · 980 bans

57%

Tusk

342 picks · 289 bans

54%

Ember Spirit

335 picks · 511 bans

51%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%

Hero pool strength51% Double Dimension

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total81% Inner Circle

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct29:17

Inner Circle 71%Double Dimension 29%

The model gave 71% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 31:45.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo