The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GSgambling specialistsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Tiny
Jing · 23 games
Hoodwink
Fernans · 22 games
Tusk
Fernans · 22 games
Warlock
Se · 22 games
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 18 games
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Slardaroften banned
laise · 14 games
gambling specialists
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 613 bans
Puck
347 picks · 986 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 517 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% gambling specialists
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Inner Circle 76%gambling specialists 24%
The model gave 76% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Game 2prediction correct
Inner Circle 76%gambling specialists 24%
The model gave 76% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 76%
Series resultInner Circle 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2