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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MODUSloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 23 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 22 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 22 games
41%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 18 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
41%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
laise · 15 games
47%

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
prblms · 15 games
40%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 12 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 12 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 11 games
73%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
634 picks · 429 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
548 picks · 307 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
491 picks · 589 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 400 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 638 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
356 picks · 1019 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 538 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
346 picks · 304 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Inner Circle
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total52% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:10
Inner Circle 55%MODUS 45%
The model gave 55% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 37:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet423
54% · 117 games61% · 25 games
Vengeful Spiritbottega
Vengeful Spirit
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainStojkov
50% · 274 games49% · 437 games
Storm SpiritMirele
Storm Spirit
Doom
Doomlaise
50% · 215 games52% · 124 games
Largoelmo^^
Largo
Tusk
TuskSe
50% · 392 games46% · 298 games
Phoenixkasane
Phoenix
Bane
BaneFernans
54% · 134 games44% · 248 games
Rubickprblms
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 52%
Series resultInner Circle 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1