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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 1:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 29 games
38%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 28 games
39%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Se · 25 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 23 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 23 games
39%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 19 games
53%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 19 games
53%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
VaniLLl · 15 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 11 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 10 games
60%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Covisnine · 10 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 9 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1140 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total58% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:10
Inner Circle 42%Nemiga Gaming 58%
The model gave 58% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 31:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 58%
Series resultInner Circle 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1