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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 1:0
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Power Rangersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 19 games
32%
Kez
Kezoften banned
423 · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 11 games
45%
Bane
Banesignature
Se · 9 games
89%
Rubick
Rubick
Fernans · 9 games
33%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Se · 9 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 8 games
25%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
laise · 8 games
38%

Power Rangers

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 36 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 29 games
48%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 29 games
62%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Immersion · 27 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 25 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 24 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 19 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 17 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
483 picks · 328 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
334 picks · 517 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 500 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 643 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
269 picks · 196 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total75% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Inner Circle 25%Power Rangers 75%
The model gave 75% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 75%
Series resultInner Circle 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1