Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Gloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Tiny
Jing · 23 games
Warlock
Se · 22 games
Hoodwink
Fernans · 21 game
Tusk
Daze · 20 games
Puckoften banned
niche · 18 games
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 14 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 14 games
Team G
Kezoften banned
Munkushi~ · 3 games
Techies
mrls · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Antares · 3 games
Lion
mrls · 2 games
Slardaroften banned
xn丶e · 2 games
Winter Wyvern
SoNNeikO · 2 games
Axe
Antares · 1 game
Chenoften banned
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
587 picks · 358 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
474 picks · 253 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
395 picks · 546 bans
Puck
335 picks · 899 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 57%
Hero pool strength54% Team G
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team G
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:1
Inner Circle 48%Team G 52%
The model gave 52% on Team G — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 34:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend423
KezMunkushi~
NecrophosStojkov
UnderlordAntares
Timbersawlaise
Ember Spiritxn丶e
Spirit BreakerFernans
Witch DoctorSoNNeikO
BaneSe
Techiesmrls
Game 2prediction missed0:0
Inner Circle 49%Team G 51%
The model gave 51% on Team G — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 29:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger423
KezMunkushi~
Tidehunterlaise
Queen of Painxn丶e
ViperStojkov
DawnbreakerAntares
TuskFernans
Techiesmrls
BaneSe
Witch DoctorSoNNeikO
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam G · 54%
Series resultInner Circle 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2