CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Lynxwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 25 games
Tusk
Fernans · 25 games
Warlock
Se · 25 games
Marsoften banned
Norma · 24 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 18 games
Jakirooften banned
Se · 18 games
Beastmasteroften banned
niche · 17 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
Team Lynx
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 23 games
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 15 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 14 games
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 14 games
Sand King
mellojul · 13 games
Abaddonoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Axeoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 11 games
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
616 picks · 942 bans
Tusk
520 picks · 423 bans
Centaur Warrunner
469 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Demon
426 picks · 962 bans
Dragon Knight
424 picks · 564 bans
Warlock
406 picks · 249 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 454 bans
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 665 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total63% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Inner Circle 39%Team Lynx 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 49:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckSupream^
RingmasterQBFY
JakiroFernans
Omniknightkreker
Batrider423
Primal Beastmellojul
Marslaise
Clinkz7jesu
?
53% · 197 games?Se
UnderlordVladikTheHtiviy
Game 2prediction correct8:35
Inner Circle 40%Team Lynx 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 27:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batrider423
UnderlordVladikTheHtiviy
PuckSupream^
Clinkz7jesu
Marslaise
Primal Beastmellojul
LargoSe
RingmasterQBFY
JakiroFernans
Omniknightkreker
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 63%
Series resultTeam Lynx 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2