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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
VP.Prodigywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 29 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 29 games
45%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 27 games
41%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 26 games
42%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Se · 23 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 21 game
38%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
niche · 19 games
37%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 19 games
21%

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 21 game
76%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 17 games
41%
Axe
Axeoften banned
takizawa · 15 games
40%
Sand King
Sand King
Katsura · 14 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 13 games
54%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 12 games
50%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 12 games
83%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
raregods · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
616 picks · 955 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
517 picks · 422 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
457 picks · 627 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
435 picks · 970 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
419 picks · 523 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 463 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
412 picks · 254 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 659 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 47%
Hero pool strength57% VP.Prodigy
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total59% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:36
Inner Circle 52%VP.Prodigy 48%
The model gave 52% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 40:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphling423
56% · 110 games50% · 312 games
Windrangercutie
Windranger
Tiny
TinySupream^
46% · 349 games49% · 73 games
Largotakizawa
Largo
Batrider
Batriderlaise
49% · 178 games54% · 245 games
Sand KingKatsura
Sand King
Disruptor
DisruptorSe
48% · 161 game55% · 400 games
Shadow Shamanraregods
Shadow Shaman
Tusk
TuskFernans
47% · 345 games47% · 113 games
Faceless VoidJANTER
Faceless Void
Game 2prediction missed15:34
Inner Circle 52%VP.Prodigy 48%
The model gave 52% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 31:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mage423
50% · 28 games50% · 97 games
Weavercutie
Weaver
Leshrac
LeshracSupream^
50% · 146 games54% · 127 games
InvokerKatsura
Invoker
Kunkka
Kunkkalaise
47% · 138 games52% · 166 games
Sand Kingtakizawa
Sand King
Warlock
WarlockSe
48% · 261 game51% · 104 games
Bounty Hunterraregods
Bounty Hunter
Hoodwink
HoodwinkFernans
50% · 153 games48% · 232 games
Shadow ShamanJANTER
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 59%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2