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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippinesloss 1:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Direbornwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

InterActive Philippines

No games played over 6 months.

Direborn

Silencer
Silencer
PlayHard · 4 games
25%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 3 games
33%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
woMy · 3 games
33%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
db- · 2 games
100%
Kez
Kezoften banned
db- · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
woMy · 2 games
100%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
633 picks · 422 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
542 picks · 304 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
489 picks · 586 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 402 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
431 picks · 633 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
356 picks · 1012 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 298 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 537 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Direborn
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:31
InterActive Philippines 54%Direborn 46%
The model gave 54% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by Direborn in 25:26.
Game 2prediction correct34:24
InterActive Philippines 54%Direborn 46%
The model gave 54% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 44:17.
Game 3prediction missed17:29
InterActive Philippines 54%Direborn 46%
The model gave 54% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by Direborn in 40:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 54%
Series resultDireborn 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3