The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kopitewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Kopite
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
543 picks · 614 bans
Ringmaster
475 picks · 240 bans
Jakiro
466 picks · 433 bans
Terrorblade
385 picks · 804 bans
Storm Spirit
359 picks · 535 bans
Ancient Apparition
355 picks · 801 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 306 bans
Shadow Shaman
335 picks · 380 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Kopite
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Kopite
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:42
InterActive Philippines 46%Kopite 54%
The model gave 54% on Kopite — the game was taken by Kopite in 58:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PangolierNishababy
PuckGaN-
59% · 45 games
GrimstrokeBombi
Game 2prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 45%Kopite 55%
The model gave 55% on Kopite — the game was taken by Kopite.
Model check result
Model favoriteKopite · 55%
Series resultKopite 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2