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BLAST Slam IV. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kopitewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

InterActive Philippines

Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Nishababy · 1 game
100%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
0%

Kopite

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Bombi · 2 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bombi · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
GaN- · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 2 games
50%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
GaN- · 2 games
0%
Oracle
Oracle
Bombi · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
GaN- · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bombi · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
323 picks · 304 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 793 bans
51%
Pugna
Pugna
276 picks · 305 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
272 picks · 751 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
272 picks · 173 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
272 picks · 135 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
269 picks · 248 bans
47%
Marci
Marci
261 picks · 786 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Kopite
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Kopite
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 47%Kopite 53%
The model gave 53% on Kopite — the game was taken by Kopite.
Game 2prediction correct35:35
InterActive Philippines 50%Kopite 50%
The model gave 50% on Kopite — the game was taken by Kopite in 37:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNishababy
55% · 61 game44% · 77 games
Sand KingGaN-
Sand King
Doom
DoomKimizu
55% · 81 game46% · 65 games
DisruptorLOyd
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteKopite · 53%
Series resultKopite 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2