DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:1series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TATeam Aureuswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Leshrac
Nishababy · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Team Aureus
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
295 picks · 682 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 110 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 258 bans
Dawnbreaker
257 picks · 634 bans
Nature's Prophet
251 picks · 531 bans
Disruptor
246 picks · 210 bans
Marci
245 picks · 558 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team Aureus
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Team Aureus
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 22%Team Aureus 78%
The model gave 78% on Team Aureus — the game was taken by Team Aureus.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aureus · 78%
Series resultTeam Aureus 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1