Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — ЮВА · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
Rubick
Matt · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Luciano · 2 games
Enchantress
Kim0 · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Nature's Prophet
Marb · 1 game
Spirit Breaker
Luciano · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Marb · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
UD Vessuwan
Snapfire
Poloson · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 4 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Meracle · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 3 games
Tusk
Jhocam · 3 games
Bane
Poloson · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 2 games
Dragon Knight
Meracle · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
257 picks · 385 bans
Mars
255 picks · 357 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 590 bans
Bane
224 picks · 153 bans
Void Spirit
217 picks · 253 bans
Lion
215 picks · 100 bans
Lina
212 picks · 457 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 260 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% UD Vessuwan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% UD Vessuwan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteUD Vessuwan · 52%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 1:0
Series predictionmissed